Al-Zarqawi, the most-wanted terrorist in
Iraq who waged a relentless campaign of beheadings and suicide
bombings, was killed when U.S. warplanes dropped bombs on his
hiding place in Baqouba, Iraq.
In response to his killing, President Bush stated that the
elimination of Zarqawi is "a severe blow to al-Qaida" and that it
was a significant victory. Al-Qaida in Iraq on the other hand
confirmed al-Zarqawi's death and posted on their website: "The
death of our leaders is life for us. It will only increase our
persistence.…"
So what will be the significance of Zarqawi's death? Will
Zarqawi's death cause the insurgency to subside?
The answer to these questions lies in understanding who Zarqawi
represents. Of the Iraqi resistance or insurgency, Zarqawi
represents a small number of no more than a few hundred people who
are often referred to as "jihadist." These people are motivated by
an austere, violent and disciplined ideology that is NOT shared by
the overwhelming majority of the Iraqi resistance or insurgency.
Nevertheless, to operate in Iraq, Zarqawi and his followers needed
the protection of the larger Iraqi insurgency who represent
approximately seven million Sunni Arabs. The interesting note here
is that the overwhelming numbers of Sunni Arabs in Iraq also
reject the fanatical ideology of people like Zarqawi and would
turn against people like Zarqawi and his followers in an instant
if it suited their purpose. In fact, news reports indicate that
many of the tips about Zarqawi's whereabouts came from Iraqis who
were associated with Zarqawi but probably did not share his
fanatical ideaolgy. Thus, the ultimate question is why are the
Sunni Muslim Arabs giving sanctuary to "Jihadists" like Zarqawi
when most of the Sunni Arabs DON'T share his ideology? The answer
to this question is also the solution for Iraq's problems and the
roadmap to ending the violence in Iraq.
The Sunni Arabs represent approximately 20% percent of Iraq's
population. While many of them did not support Saddam Hussein the
toppling of Saddam Hussein affected them in a negative way. Among
their grievances is the issue of De-Bathification. This is a
process by which the new Iraqi government targeted those who were
members of the former ruling Baath party. This process
disproportionately affected Sunni Arabs who either lost their jobs
or were not allowed to seek government jobs because of their past
membership in the Baath party. Those who were members of the Baath
party argue their membership was out of necessity and it is not
fair to target them.
A second grievance of the Sunni Arabs is that they want Iraq to
remain united and intact. Since the toppling of Saddam Hussein,
Iraq has ventured into a lose federation that brings enormous fear
to the Sunni Arabs. Iraq is roughly divided into three
jurisdictions. The Kurds who live in the oil rich north, the Shias
who live in the oil rich South and the Sunnis who live in the
center which has no oil. The Sunni Arabs want an equitable
distribution of resources so that they do not become impoverished
while the others prosper.
Another of many concerns the Sunni Arabs have with post Saddam
Iraq is that Kurdish areas are behaving like a separate country.
The new government of Iraq has almost no control over the Kurdish
areas. Iraqi ministries don't have offices in those areas and the
Iraqi military does not venture in the Kurdish areas. The Sunni
Arabs fear that Kurdish areas may break off from Iraq and divide
the country.
To address their concerns the Sunni Arabs
want to amend the new Iraqi constitution which they feel does not
represent them. Thus, to answer the initial question, the death of
Zarqawi is a great accomplishment and will probably be yet another
nail in Al-Qaida coffin. However, the death of Zarqawi will have a
marginal impact on the insurgency in Iraq. If the United States
wants peace in Iraq then the concerns of the Sunni Arabs must be
given serious consideration or the war in Iraq will only get
bigger and the Sunni Arabs will continue to harbor criminals like
Zarqawi and his deadly followers who are coming from all over the
Muslim world to fight a "holy war."